Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
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Efficiency Plus — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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36–19 on winners spread MAE 9.2 55 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
St. John's @ UConn +5.5 146.7 74% 40–72 ✓
Maryland @ Nebraska +14.9 142.9 89% 61–74 ✓
Florida @ Texas -2.5 155.4 30% 84–71 ✓
Georgia @ Vanderbilt +7.6 170.0 76% 80–88 ✓
Illinois State @ Northern Iowa +2.7 134.7 65% 71–69 ✗
Lafayette @ Colgate +7.9 143.0 82% 70–69 ✗
Lehigh @ American University +5.8 143.5 76% 78–73 ✗
George Mason @ Saint Joseph's +0.8 134.4 56% 63–81 ✓
Davidson @ Duquesne +2.1 142.1 64% 67–56 ✗
North Texas @ Charlotte -0.5 135.1 37% 79–80 ✗
Holy Cross @ Boston University +5.9 140.4 71% 63–78 ✓
Butler @ Villanova +9.2 149.4 82% 73–82 ✓
Navy @ Loyola Maryland -6.8 142.7 27% 78–51 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota -0.2 150.8 48% 72–89 ✗
Detroit Mercy @ Robert Morris +9.7 148.4 83% 62–73 ✓
Wright State @ Purdue Fort Wayne -1.7 146.6 48% 74–70 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Cleveland State -5.3 157.3 36% 81–70 ✓
Mercer @ Western Carolina -0.4 157.4 54% 74–78 ✗
Wofford @ East Tennessee State +8.2 145.8 82% 72–69 ✗
Lipscomb @ West Georgia -6.2 154.5 29% 78–84 ✗
Queens University @ Eastern Kentucky +0.5 166.9 60% 96–79 ✗
Xavier @ Providence +5.7 167.6 70% 84–94 ✓
Evansville @ Belmont +16.6 149.3 90% 64–98 ✓
Tulsa @ Tulane -5.9 148.6 38% 90–56 ✓
Drake @ Valparaiso +3.7 143.0 69% 71–74 ✓
Indiana State @ Southern Illinois +7.9 146.1 83% 55–66 ✓
South Florida @ Rice -9.1 160.4 20% 75–56 ✓
East Carolina @ UTSA -3.3 147.1 36% 82–81 ✓
Pittsburgh @ Stanford +6.1 138.6 76% 67–75 ✓
Youngstown State @ Milwaukee +0.7 146.0 58% 65–78 ✓
Georgia Southern @ James Madison +6.7 153.1 76% 66–82 ✓
UL Monroe @ South Alabama +14.8 154.5 87% 54–89 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Austin Peay +5.8 149.4 73% 93–88 ✗
Portland @ Gonzaga +25.0 151.3 91% 48–89 ✓
Mississippi State @ Alabama +13.8 175.5 86% 75–100 ✓
Seattle U @ Pepperdine -6.0 138.7 28% 87–80 ✓
Kansas State @ Colorado +5.6 162.2 76% 70–79 ✓
Ohio State @ Iowa +5.3 138.2 73% 57–74 ✓
UNLV @ Grand Canyon +8.5 152.1 80% 67–80 ✓
DePaul @ Creighton +6.0 143.9 76% 72–71 ✗
LSU @ Ole Miss +0.4 148.8 58% 106–99 ✗
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +7.7 176.1 73% 84–99 ✓
Bellarmine @ North Alabama -0.4 143.8 59% 68–73 ✗
San Diego @ Oregon State +7.7 144.7 81% 82–92 ✓
SMU @ California -2.6 156.8 44% 69–73 ✗
Wisconsin @ Oregon -4.5 152.7 31% 71–85 ✗
Washington State @ Loyola Marymount +0.3 146.0 53% 66–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ Saint Mary's +4.8 146.3 72% 67–86 ✓
Utah State @ San Diego State +0.1 144.7 54% 72–89 ✓
Charleston @ Hampton -2.6 139.9 39% 85–71 ✓
Rhode Island @ St. Bonaventure +1.4 140.3 57% 76–94 ✓
New Hampshire @ Binghamton -3.3 140.0 50% 63–65 ✗
Bryant @ UMBC +9.8 136.0 83% 58–70 ✓
Bethune-Cookman @ Grambling +0.2 143.2 53% 76–71 ✗
Maine @ UAlbany +3.7 130.6 59% 70–59 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.