Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | MILW -105 YSU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +13 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -1.6 (+14.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.8 (-5.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -0.7 (+12.3) | 146.0 (-3.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -0.9 (+13.9) | 145.1 (-2.1) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.2 (+14.2) | 146.7 (-3.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -0.1 (+13.1) | 146.1 (-3.1) | 54% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | MILW 65 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MILW 84 – 74 YSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MILW 79 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YSU 84 – 80 MILW |
| Feb 8, 2024 | YSU 97 – 85 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#262) | -1.5 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#265) | -0.69 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.47 (#274) | -0.65 (#220) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#259) | 0.456 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 33.7% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.5% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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