Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | YSU -278 MILW +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -5.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-21.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -4.0 (-5.0) | 147.7 (-18.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -3.6 (-4.6) | 146.4 (-17.4) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -4.1 (-5.1) | 146.2 (-17.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -4.2 (-5.2) | 147.6 (-18.6) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | MILW 78 – 65 YSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MILW 84 – 74 YSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MILW 79 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YSU 84 – 80 MILW |
| Feb 8, 2024 | YSU 97 – 85 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#206) | -4.9 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.90 (#250) | -0.70 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#240) | -1.06 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#290) | 0.464 (#234) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.3% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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