Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | MILW +120 YSU -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +4 | 164 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -4.4 (+0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.7 (-1.3) | 156.1 (+7.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -3.7 (-0.3) | 153.9 (+10.1) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.3 (-1.7) | 154.8 (+9.2) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.6 (-1.4) | 155.0 (+9.0) | 40% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | MILW 78 – 65 YSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MILW 65 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MILW 84 – 74 YSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MILW 79 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 8, 2024 | YSU 97 – 85 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 14-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#252) | 3.3 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.41 (#212) | 0.15 (#156) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#257) | 0.34 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#189) | 0.514 (#148) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 38.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 36.1% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 65.8% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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