Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -400 MILW +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +12 | 182 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -12.2 (-0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.8 (+24.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -10.6 (+1.4) | 156.3 (+25.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -12.1 (-0.1) | 153.5 (+28.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -11.8 (+0.2) | 155.2 (+26.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -12.2 (-0.2) | 156.5 (+25.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | MILW 78 – 65 YSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MILW 65 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MILW 84 – 74 YSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MILW 79 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YSU 84 – 80 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 20-15 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 12-8 |
| Home | 14-3 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 4.6 (#106) | -4.2 (#244) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.38 (#144) | -0.48 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#141) | -1.02 (#255) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#130) | 0.477 (#213) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 33.0% | 36.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.9% | 25.2% |
Game Analysis
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