I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
Horizon League · Beeghly Center · February 8, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread YSU -8.5 Home covered
O/U 159.5 Over
Money YSU -400 / MILW +280
Model Predictions
Spread Total YSU win
Actual YSU +12 182 Won
Massey YSU -12.2 (-0.2) — —
Massey Totals — 157.8 (+24.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 81% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 90% ✓
Baseline Plus ML YSU -12.2 (-0.2) 156.5 (+25.5) 87% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ YSU -10.6 (+1.4) 156.3 (+25.7) 86% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML YSU -12.1 (-0.1) 153.5 (+28.5) 87% ✓
Baseline ML YSU -11.8 (+0.2) 155.2 (+26.8) 87% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 MILW 78 – 65 YSU
Jan 24, 2026 MILW 65 – 64 YSU
Feb 22, 2025 MILW 84 – 74 YSU
Jan 18, 2025 MILW 79 – 64 YSU
Feb 24, 2024 YSU 84 – 80 MILW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings YSU MILW
Overall 22-10 20-15
Conference 14-6 12-8
Home 14-3 12-4
Away 8-7 6-9
Neutral 0-0 2-2
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.4 79.0
Avg Pts Against 72.4 79.5
Massey 4.6 (#106) -4.2 (#244)
Bradley-Terry 0.38 (#144) -0.48 (#220)
W. Bradley-Terry 0.51 (#141) -1.02 (#255)
RPI 0.524 (#130) 0.477 (#213)
Shooting & Four Factors YSU MILW
FG% 44.2% 44.6%
3PT% 33.4% 33.3%
REB / G 38.3 37.4
OREB / G 11.9 13.3
AST / TO 1.28 1.03
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.4% 51.2%
TOV% 15.8% 18.4%
ORB% 33.0% 36.0%
FT Rate 21.4% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.0% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 16.9% 15.9%
DRB% 72.8% 66.4%
Opp FT Rate 21.9% 25.2%

Game Analysis

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