Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -125 MILW +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +10 | 158 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -0.2 (-9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (+10.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -0.8 (-10.8) | 146.9 (+11.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -0.1 (-10.1) | 148.2 (+9.8) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -1.2 (-11.2) | 147.9 (+10.1) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -1.5 (-11.5) | 150.6 (+7.4) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | MILW 78 – 65 YSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MILW 65 – 64 YSU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | MILW 79 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YSU 84 – 80 MILW |
| Feb 8, 2024 | YSU 97 – 85 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-5 | 13-3 |
| Away | 9-6 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#184) | 2.1 (#126) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#164) | 0.39 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.03 (#164) | 0.66 (#118) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#203) | 0.543 (#96) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 41.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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