Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | MILW -230 YSU +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +15 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -7.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -5.2 (+9.8) | 142.0 (+1.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -4.4 (+10.6) | 141.2 (+1.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -4.9 (+10.1) | 138.9 (+4.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -5.3 (+9.7) | 139.8 (+3.2) | 68% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | MILW 78 – 65 YSU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | MILW 65 – 64 YSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MILW 84 – 74 YSU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | YSU 84 – 80 MILW |
| Feb 8, 2024 | YSU 97 – 85 MILW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 13-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 1.4 (#142) | -2.0 (#199) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#117) | -0.20 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#112) | -0.36 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#86) | 0.470 (#226) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 30.4% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 14.5 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 40.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 69.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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