Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | PFW +105 WRST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -3.4 (-0.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.0 (-2.0) | 148.3 (-4.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WRST -1.7 (-2.3) | 146.6 (-2.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WRST -1.8 (-2.2) | 146.7 (-2.7) | 43% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -2.1 (-1.9) | 149.5 (-5.5) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2026 | WRST 73 – 68 PFW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PFW 87 – 64 WRST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | PFW 120 – 113 WRST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | PFW 79 – 77 WRST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WRST 106 – 98 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-11 | 9-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 79.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.8 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#257) | 0.6 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#190) | 0.12 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#226) | 0.17 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#205) | 0.523 (#126) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 28.4 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 14.6% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 28.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.3% | 53.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 64.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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