We're volunteers of America. "Volunteers" - Jefferson Airplane
Horizon League · Memorial Coliseum (IN) · February 26, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread WRST -1.5 Away covered
O/U 150.5 Under
Money PFW +105 / WRST -125
Model Predictions
Spread Total PFW win
Actual WRST +4 144 Lost
Massey WRST -3.4 (-0.6) — —
Massey Totals — 150.7 (-6.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 54% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 42% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WRST -1.8 (-2.2) 146.7 (-2.7) 43% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WRST -1.7 (-2.3) 146.6 (-2.6) 48% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WRST -2.0 (-2.0) 148.3 (-4.3) 40% ✓
Baseline ML WRST -2.1 (-1.9) 149.5 (-5.5) 41% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 8, 2026 WRST 73 – 68 PFW
Feb 6, 2025 PFW 87 – 64 WRST
Jan 16, 2025 PFW 120 – 113 WRST
Feb 29, 2024 PFW 79 – 77 WRST
Jan 6, 2024 WRST 106 – 98 PFW

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings PFW WRST
Overall 17-15 23-12
Conference 11-9 15-5
Home 11-4 11-5
Away 6-11 9-5
Neutral 0-0 3-2
Last 5 2-3 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 74.2 79.8
Avg Pts Against 78.8 75.6
Massey -5.7 (#257) 0.6 (#152)
Bradley-Terry -0.21 (#190) 0.12 (#155)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.72 (#226) 0.17 (#158)
RPI 0.490 (#205) 0.523 (#126)
Shooting & Four Factors PFW WRST
FG% 45.1% 48.0%
3PT% 35.0% 35.7%
REB / G 28.4 34.3
OREB / G 7.5 10.9
AST / TO 1.33 1.14
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.1% 54.2%
TOV% 14.6% 16.6%
ORB% 21.8% 33.0%
FT Rate 21.2% 28.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 56.3% 53.0%
Opp TOV% 19.4% 16.6%
DRB% 64.9% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 23.9%

Game Analysis

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