Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | WRST +105 PFW -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +7 | 233 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -0.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.3 (+76.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -0.2 (-6.8) | 149.0 (+84.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -0.3 (-6.7) | 148.2 (+84.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -0.2 (-7.2) | 150.9 (+82.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -0.2 (-6.8) | 153.1 (+79.9) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WRST 74 – 70 PFW |
| Feb 8, 2026 | WRST 73 – 68 PFW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PFW 87 – 64 WRST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | PFW 79 – 77 WRST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WRST 106 – 98 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-2 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 76.3 |
| Massey | -0.9 (#169) | 2.4 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.26 (#194) | 0.46 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#172) | 0.81 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#188) | 0.532 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.54 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 13.4% |
| ORB% | 23.6% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.7% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 54.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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