Betting Lines
| Spread | PFW -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 164.0 Over |
| Money | PFW -140 WRST +118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PFW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +8 | 204 | Lost |
| Massey | PFW -10.3 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.8 (+36.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PFW -11.0 (-19.0) | 160.4 (+43.6) | 84% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PFW -7.6 (-15.6) | 160.7 (+43.3) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PFW -11.2 (-19.2) | 158.0 (+46.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PFW -10.4 (-18.4) | 157.8 (+46.2) | 83% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WRST 74 – 70 PFW |
| Feb 8, 2026 | WRST 73 – 68 PFW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PFW 87 – 64 WRST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | PFW 120 – 113 WRST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | PFW 79 – 77 WRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PFW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 13-7 |
| Home | 11-5 | 9-7 |
| Away | 10-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.3 | 86.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.9 | 82.8 |
| Massey | 5.3 (#93) | -0.7 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#53) | -0.44 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.10 (#58) | -0.42 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#101) | 0.479 (#208) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PFW | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.8% | 52.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.29 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 57.5% |
| TOV% | 13.9% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 21.7% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 57.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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