Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | WRST -298 PFW +240 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WRST +5 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -10.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (-9.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -8.4 (-3.4) | 146.6 (-5.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -7.7 (-2.7) | 148.3 (-7.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -10.0 (-5.0) | 147.5 (-6.5) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -8.5 (-3.5) | 148.3 (-7.3) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WRST 74 – 70 PFW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PFW 87 – 64 WRST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | PFW 120 – 113 WRST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | PFW 79 – 77 WRST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WRST 106 – 98 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-5 | 11-4 |
| Away | 9-5 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.8 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 78.8 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#141) | -5.2 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#137) | -0.08 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#130) | -0.65 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.524 (#121) | 0.495 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 34.2% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.40 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.9% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 21.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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