Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 167.5 Under |
| Money | WRST -250 PFW +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PFW +2 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | WRST -3.9 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 172.5 (-16.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -3.2 (-5.2) | 166.9 (-10.9) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -3.5 (-5.5) | 164.6 (-8.6) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -3.7 (-5.7) | 164.3 (-8.3) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -3.2 (-5.2) | 168.8 (-12.8) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | WRST 74 – 70 PFW |
| Feb 8, 2026 | WRST 73 – 68 PFW |
| Feb 6, 2025 | PFW 87 – 64 WRST |
| Jan 16, 2025 | PFW 120 – 113 WRST |
| Jan 6, 2024 | WRST 106 – 98 PFW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 11-9 |
| Home | 9-7 | 11-5 |
| Away | 7-6 | 10-8 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.2 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 72.9 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#145) | 1.0 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#163) | -0.29 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#161) | -0.20 (#177) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#137) | 0.475 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WRST | PFW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.2% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 38.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 30.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.38 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 58.8% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 22.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.3% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 22.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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