Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | ORE +220 WIS -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +14 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -6.7 (+20.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -4.5 (+18.5) | 152.7 (+3.3) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -4.9 (+18.9) | 148.2 (+7.8) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -4.9 (+18.9) | 150.2 (+5.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -6.0 (+20.0) | 150.0 (+6.0) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | ORE 77 – 73 WIS |
| Mar 22, 2023 | WIS 61 – 58 ORE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORE | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 14-6 |
| Home | 10-7 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-8 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 83.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 76.1 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#99) | 15.0 (#33) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#108) | 2.75 (#27) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#111) | 3.45 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.508 (#167) | 0.595 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORE | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 1.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 13.2% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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