You scumbag, you maggot, you cheap lousy faggot "Fairytale of New York" - The Pogues
Matthew Knight Arena · March 22, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread ORE -2.0 Away covered
O/U 131.0 Under
Money ORE -125 / WIS +105
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORE win
Actual WIS +3 119 Lost
Massey ORE -6.2 (-9.2)
Massey Totals 130.1 (-11.1)
Bradley-Terry 59%
Weighted B-T 60%
Efficiency Plus ML ORE -5.5 (-8.5) 130.2 (-11.2) 62%
Baseline Tuned ML ORE -5.9 (-8.9) 132.2 (-13.2) 71%
Baseline ML ORE -5.8 (-8.8) 133.6 (-14.6) 67%
Baseline Plus ML ORE -5.6 (-8.6) 132.1 (-13.1) 57%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 ORE 8571 WIS
Feb 22, 2025 ORE 7773 WIS

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORE WIS
Overall 21-15 20-15
Conference 12-8 9-11
Home 15-6 11-6
Away 4-6 6-6
Neutral 2-3 3-3
Last 5 4-1 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 70.6 65.3
Avg Pts Against 66.3 63.6
Massey 10.9 (#38) 8.3 (#75)
Bradley-Terry 1.37 (#65) 1.62 (#57)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.81 (#63) 2.12 (#52)
RPI 0.560 (#63) 0.551 (#75)
Shooting & Four Factors ORE WIS
FG% 44.9% 41.8%
3PT% 32.1% 34.3%
REB / G 37.7 31.3
OREB / G 11.2 7.7
AST / TO 1.08 1.35
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 51.2% 48.8%
TOV% 18.5% 13.1%
ORB% 33.0% 22.2%
FT Rate 22.6% 17.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 47.4% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 16.4% 18.4%
DRB% 73.8% 74.8%
Opp FT Rate 18.3% 18.9%

Game Analysis

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