Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Wisconsin Badgers
73 77 OT
FINAL Conference
Oregon Ducks
Big Ten Conference · Kohl Center · February 22, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread WIS -8.5 Away covered
O/U 152.5 Under
Money WIS -400 / ORE +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total WIS win
Actual ORE +4 150 Lost
Massey WIS -8.6 (-12.6)
Massey Totals 152.4 (-2.4)
Bradley-Terry 74%
Weighted B-T 85%
Efficiency Plus ML WIS -8.7 (-12.7) 151.1 (-1.1) 78%
Baseline Tuned ML WIS -9.6 (-13.6) 153.3 (-3.3) 81%
Baseline ML WIS -8.6 (-12.6) 152.2 (-2.2) 79%
Baseline Plus ML WIS -8.7 (-12.7) 152.2 (-2.2) 78%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 ORE 8571 WIS
Mar 22, 2023 WIS 6158 ORE

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings WIS ORE
Overall 27-10 25-10
Conference 13-7 12-8
Home 14-3 12-4
Away 6-5 7-4
Neutral 7-2 6-2
Last 5 5-0 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 80.1 76.5
Avg Pts Against 70.9 70.9
Massey 18.8 (#14) 13.3 (#38)
Bradley-Terry 3.21 (#11) 2.74 (#20)
W. Bradley-Terry 4.29 (#8) 3.22 (#29)
RPI 0.633 (#11) 0.619 (#20)
Shooting & Four Factors WIS ORE
FG% 46.8% 45.7%
3PT% 36.8% 34.6%
REB / G 35.8 35.1
OREB / G 9.1 10.2
AST / TO 1.54 1.33
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 55.6% 52.5%
TOV% 14.3% 16.2%
ORB% 28.3% 30.8%
FT Rate 29.5% 26.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.2% 49.9%
Opp TOV% 15.0% 17.6%
DRB% 73.4% 70.8%
Opp FT Rate 20.8% 20.7%

Game Analysis

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