Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -198 DEP +164 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEP +1 | 143 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -5.6 (-6.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (+1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -5.3 (-6.3) | 139.1 (+3.9) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -6.0 (-7.0) | 143.9 (-0.9) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -5.1 (-6.1) | 141.2 (+1.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -5.5 (-6.5) | 139.4 (+3.6) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CREI 85 – 62 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 8-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-7 |
| Away | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.2 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 8.0 (#79) | 5.3 (#101) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.41 (#72) | 0.85 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#66) | 1.19 (#95) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#93) | 0.492 (#204) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.34 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 18.7% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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