Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | CREI -1000 DEP +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +4 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -10.0 (-6.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.3 (+20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -8.8 (-4.8) | 144.3 (+21.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -10.6 (-6.6) | 146.0 (+20.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -9.2 (-5.2) | 143.5 (+22.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -9.0 (-5.0) | 144.7 (+21.3) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CREI 85 – 62 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 13.5 (#38) | 3.5 (#110) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.28 (#40) | 0.18 (#152) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.72 (#43) | 0.39 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#38) | 0.461 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.28 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.2% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 27.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.5% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.5% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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