Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | DEP +270 CREI -340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +24 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | CREI -4.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.8 (-29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -4.9 (-19.1) | 146.9 (-24.9) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -6.5 (-17.5) | 148.2 (-26.2) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -4.6 (-19.4) | 147.7 (-25.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -4.6 (-19.4) | 147.0 (-25.0) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CREI 85 – 62 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-20 | 25-11 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 15-5 |
| Home | 11-8 | 15-2 |
| Away | 2-10 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#101) | 11.9 (#46) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.14 (#169) | 2.15 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#145) | 2.58 (#50) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#193) | 0.608 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEP | CREI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.6% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 37.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.30 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 20.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 12.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 12.5% |
Game Analysis
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