Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +23 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -27.4 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -21.0 (+2.0) | 145.8 (+1.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -20.9 (+2.1) | 148.8 (-1.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -25.1 (-2.1) | 146.0 (+1.0) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -24.4 (-1.4) | 147.3 (-0.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Feb 27, 2025 | CREI 75 – 65 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 3-29 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 0-20 |
| Home | 14-2 | 3-15 |
| Away | 8-4 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L20 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 16.2 (#13) | -7.6 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.23 (#27) | -1.63 (#318) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.77 (#31) | -1.79 (#300) |
| RPI | 0.603 (#29) | 0.448 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.0% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 39.5 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.6% | 49.6% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 22.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.6% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.1% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 68.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 11.4% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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