Betting Lines
| Spread | CREI -15.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | CREI -2000 DEP +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CREI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CREI +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | CREI -14.6 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.7 (-6.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CREI -12.8 (-2.8) | 143.8 (-3.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CREI -15.2 (-5.2) | 146.5 (-6.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CREI -12.1 (-2.1) | 144.6 (-4.6) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CREI -12.6 (-2.6) | 144.0 (-4.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Feb 12, 2026 | DEP 72 – 71 CREI |
| Mar 13, 2025 | CREI 85 – 81 DEP |
| Jan 22, 2025 | CREI 73 – 49 DEP |
| Jan 28, 2024 | CREI 85 – 62 DEP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-11 | 14-20 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 15-2 | 11-8 |
| Away | 6-6 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.5 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.0 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 14.0 (#35) | 2.6 (#120) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#37) | -0.26 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#40) | 0.02 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#37) | 0.445 (#287) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CREI | DEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.4% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 51.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 11.9% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 12.9% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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