Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -26.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | GONZ -6500 PORT +2000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +41 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -29.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-15.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -27.1 (+13.9) | 150.1 (-13.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -25.0 (+16.0) | 151.3 (-14.3) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -22.1 (+18.9) | 150.1 (-13.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -26.9 (+14.1) | 150.1 (-13.1) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | PORT 87 – 80 GONZ |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GONZ 105 – 62 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GONZ 81 – 50 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 65 PORT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | GONZ 96 – 64 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 15-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 1-12 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 23.0 (#7) | -3.3 (#221) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.03 (#6) | -0.33 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.04 (#5) | -0.40 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.629 (#17) | 0.472 (#242) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.4% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.88 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 35.6% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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