Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -28.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +32 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -26.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -24.1 (+7.9) | 156.1 (+3.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -22.5 (+9.5) | 153.3 (+6.7) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -21.3 (+10.7) | 153.8 (+6.2) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -24.1 (+7.9) | 155.6 (+4.4) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 48 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | PORT 87 – 80 GONZ |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GONZ 105 – 62 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GONZ 81 – 50 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 27-8 | 12-21 |
| Conference | 14-2 | 5-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-6 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.4 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 79.5 |
| Massey | 14.1 (#20) | -8.9 (#310) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#64) | -0.99 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.34 (#41) | -1.13 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.568 (#72) | 0.451 (#268) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 39.6 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.0% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 14.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 33.6% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 24.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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