Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -33.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 159.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +31 | 131 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -36.2 (-5.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 163.1 (-32.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -29.0 (+2.0) | 158.9 (-27.9) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -24.7 (+6.3) | 157.1 (-26.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -22.1 (+8.9) | 157.6 (-26.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -29.1 (+1.9) | 157.7 (-26.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 48 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | PORT 87 – 80 GONZ |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GONZ 105 – 62 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 65 PORT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | GONZ 96 – 64 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-9 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-2 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 6-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 21.8 (#5) | -10.3 (#330) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#33) | -1.82 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.75 (#24) | -2.59 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.646 (#11) | 0.430 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.0% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.5% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 75.0% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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