Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -24.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 162.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +3000 GONZ -20000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +43 | 167 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -24.7 (-18.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -15.1 (-27.9) | 164.3 (+2.7) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -15.3 (-27.7) | 164.8 (+2.2) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -16.1 (-26.9) | 164.1 (+2.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -19.4 (-23.6) | 161.2 (+5.8) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 48 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | PORT 87 – 80 GONZ |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GONZ 81 – 50 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 65 PORT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | GONZ 96 – 64 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 9-7 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-9 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 0-4 | 6-5 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 86.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#315) | 18.6 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.53 (#302) | 2.00 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.11 (#311) | 2.89 (#39) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#293) | 0.587 (#45) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 49.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 39.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 1.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 55.6% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.7% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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