Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | PORT +1600 GONZ -10000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +21 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | GONZ -20.7 (-0.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -19.0 (-2.0) | 154.4 (-3.4) | 12% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -15.2 (-5.8) | 155.0 (-4.0) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -15.4 (-5.6) | 155.7 (-4.7) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -18.1 (-2.9) | 156.0 (-5.0) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 48 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | PORT 87 – 80 GONZ |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GONZ 105 – 62 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GONZ 81 – 50 PORT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | GONZ 96 – 64 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-21 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 14-2 |
| Home | 9-6 | 13-2 |
| Away | 2-11 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 6-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 83.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 69.5 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#318) | 14.6 (#20) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#280) | 1.94 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#278) | 2.62 (#30) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#272) | 0.580 (#47) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 50.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 56.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 23.7% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.