Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -22.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | PORT +1800 GONZ -5000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PORT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PORT +7 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -24.8 (+31.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.6 (+12.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -17.8 (+24.8) | 147.2 (+19.8) | 12% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -15.6 (+22.6) | 151.7 (+15.3) | 12% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -15.9 (+22.9) | 145.0 (+22.0) | 14% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -15.6 (+22.6) | 146.1 (+20.9) | 13% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 48 PORT |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GONZ 105 – 62 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GONZ 81 – 50 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 65 PORT |
| Feb 8, 2024 | GONZ 96 – 64 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-19 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 12-6 | 15-0 |
| Away | 1-12 | 8-2 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 84.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 66.2 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#227) | 23.9 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#203) | 4.50 (#6) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#195) | 5.82 (#6) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#233) | 0.636 (#17) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PORT | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 51.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.1% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 42.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 56.8% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 36.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 75.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.6% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
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