Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 166.5 Under |
| Money | CLE +320 NKU -410 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +11 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | NKU -6.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 168.0 (-17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -5.3 (-5.7) | 157.3 (-6.3) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -5.6 (-5.4) | 157.3 (-6.3) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -5.2 (-5.8) | 158.0 (-7.0) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -5.7 (-5.3) | 159.0 (-8.0) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 4, 2025 | NKU 95 – 80 CLE |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CLE 68 – 63 NKU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | NKU 85 – 75 CLE |
| Jan 16, 2025 | CLE 76 – 58 NKU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NKU 75 – 73 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 88.6 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -10.8 (#318) | -1.3 (#186) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#287) | -0.34 (#205) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.82 (#293) | -0.43 (#204) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#305) | 0.493 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLE | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 11.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 30.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.9% | 54.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 62.6% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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