Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -135 CLE +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +10 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -2.1 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.2 (+29.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -2.8 (+12.8) | 132.6 (+27.4) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -2.4 (+12.4) | 134.6 (+25.4) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -3.5 (+13.5) | 134.2 (+25.8) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -3.6 (+13.6) | 134.0 (+26.0) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NKU 81 – 70 CLE |
| Dec 4, 2025 | NKU 95 – 80 CLE |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CLE 68 – 63 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2025 | CLE 76 – 58 NKU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | NKU 75 – 73 CLE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 12-6 | 14-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 68.0 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#248) | 0.2 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#245) | 0.71 (#113) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#246) | 0.88 (#107) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#249) | 0.536 (#109) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 33.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.2% | 49.3% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 22.8% |
| DRB% | 67.7% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.2% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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