Betting Lines
| Spread | AMER -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | AMER -265 LEH +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | AMER -6.8 (-11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -5.5 (-10.5) | 142.6 (+8.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -5.8 (-10.8) | 143.5 (+7.5) | 76% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -6.2 (-11.2) | 144.5 (+6.5) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -5.7 (-10.7) | 143.8 (+7.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 12, 2026 | LEH 90 – 82 AMER |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AMER 78 – 75 LEH |
| Jan 23, 2025 | AMER 68 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LEH 70 – 68 AMER |
| Jan 4, 2024 | AMER 75 – 66 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMER | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-17 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 11-6 | 13-4 |
| Away | 5-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 74.4 |
| Massey | -4.8 (#239) | -8.6 (#299) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#249) | -1.47 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.09 (#247) | -2.26 (#320) |
| RPI | 0.485 (#219) | 0.451 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMER | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 30.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.9 | 7.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 22.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 69.8% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 31.2% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.