Betting Lines
| Spread | LEH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | LEH -145 AMER +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMER +3 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | LEH -2.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+14.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LEH -1.7 (-4.7) | 138.3 (+14.7) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LEH -1.2 (-4.2) | 135.5 (+17.5) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LEH -1.3 (-4.3) | 138.4 (+14.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LEH -1.7 (-4.7) | 138.4 (+14.6) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LEH 78 – 73 AMER |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LEH 90 – 82 AMER |
| Jan 23, 2025 | AMER 68 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LEH 70 – 68 AMER |
| Jan 4, 2024 | AMER 75 – 66 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 3-14 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.7 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 68.5 |
| Massey | -6.9 (#277) | -6.1 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.37 (#291) | -0.38 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.89 (#302) | -0.60 (#216) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#270) | 0.501 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 43.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.3% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 29.6 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.5% | 24.7% |
Game Analysis
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