Betting Lines
| Spread | AMER -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | LEH +120 AMER -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LEH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +2 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | LEH -2.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 24% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -1.0 (+3.0) | 141.5 (-3.5) | 47% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -1.2 (+3.2) | 139.5 (-1.5) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -1.2 (+3.2) | 141.8 (-3.8) | 47% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -0.5 (+2.5) | 141.6 (-3.6) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LEH 78 – 73 AMER |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LEH 90 – 82 AMER |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AMER 78 – 75 LEH |
| Jan 23, 2025 | AMER 68 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 4, 2024 | AMER 75 – 66 LEH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LEH | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 8-11 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 67.8 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#271) | -4.3 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.00 (#354) | -1.17 (#280) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.07 (#342) | -1.38 (#280) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#339) | 0.428 (#297) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LEH | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 75.1% | 73.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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