Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +220 COFC -270 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +14 | 156 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -3.4 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (+16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 26% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -3.6 (-10.4) | 140.0 (+16.0) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -2.6 (-11.4) | 139.9 (+16.1) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -3.6 (-10.4) | 136.8 (+19.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -3.4 (-10.6) | 138.1 (+17.9) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | COFC 74 – 70 HAMP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COFC 94 – 67 HAMP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | COFC 107 – 86 HAMP |
| Feb 11, 2023 | COFC 83 – 70 HAMP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COFC 89 – 61 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 1-5 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 73.9 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#266) | 0.1 (#162) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#261) | 0.51 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.38 (#264) | 0.35 (#137) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#264) | 0.537 (#97) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 33.9% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 30.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.6% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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