Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | COFC -600 HAMP +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +27 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -6.5 (+20.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.8 (+13.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -4.4 (+22.6) | 145.2 (+15.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -8.4 (+18.6) | 146.4 (+14.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -5.3 (+21.7) | 144.9 (+16.1) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -5.6 (+21.4) | 146.0 (+15.0) | 71% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | COFC 85 – 71 HAMP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | COFC 74 – 70 HAMP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | COFC 107 – 86 HAMP |
| Feb 11, 2023 | COFC 83 – 70 HAMP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COFC 89 – 61 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-9 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 8-10 |
| Home | 13-2 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.7 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 70.8 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#141) | -1.5 (#187) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.43 (#74) | -0.05 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.49 (#88) | -0.04 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.593 (#44) | 0.501 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 38.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 16.1% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 35.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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