Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -21.5 Home covered |
| Money | COFC -3300 HAMP +1700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +28 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -23.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -19.1 (+8.9) | 152.2 (-2.2) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -18.8 (+9.2) | 152.6 (-2.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -18.2 (+9.8) | 152.1 (-2.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -20.1 (+7.9) | 151.7 (-1.7) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | COFC 85 – 71 HAMP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | COFC 74 – 70 HAMP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COFC 94 – 67 HAMP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | COFC 107 – 86 HAMP |
| Feb 11, 2023 | COFC 83 – 70 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-4 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 5-13 |
| Home | 17-1 | 7-6 |
| Away | 11-2 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.6 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#69) | -11.7 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#12) | -1.95 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.41 (#18) | -2.67 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.661 (#5) | 0.394 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 38.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 38.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 53.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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