Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -16.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | HAMP +800 COFC -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +13 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -17.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 3% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -14.5 (+1.5) | 152.6 (+0.4) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -14.8 (+1.8) | 154.4 (-1.4) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -14.3 (+1.3) | 152.7 (+0.3) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -14.0 (+1.0) | 152.7 (+0.3) | 12% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | COFC 85 – 71 HAMP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | COFC 74 – 70 HAMP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COFC 94 – 67 HAMP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | COFC 107 – 86 HAMP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COFC 89 – 61 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 31-4 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-6 | 17-1 |
| Away | 1-13 | 11-2 |
| Neutral | 0-5 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -12.5 (#349) | 8.1 (#70) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#335) | 2.09 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.52 (#341) | 2.49 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#331) | 0.580 (#44) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 40.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.2% | 35.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 23.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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