Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -485 HAMP +370 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +4 | 144 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -9.6 (-5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.2 (+0.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -8.5 (-4.5) | 138.2 (+5.8) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -7.7 (-3.7) | 138.8 (+5.2) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -8.5 (-4.5) | 138.6 (+5.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -7.9 (-3.9) | 139.1 (+4.9) | 78% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | COFC 85 – 71 HAMP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COFC 94 – 67 HAMP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | COFC 107 – 86 HAMP |
| Feb 11, 2023 | COFC 83 – 70 HAMP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COFC 89 – 61 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-2 |
| Away | 8-4 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-5 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#172) | -6.3 (#261) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.50 (#134) | -1.27 (#273) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#137) | -1.95 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#134) | 0.432 (#286) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | HAMP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 46.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.1% | 32.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.4% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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