Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | HAMP +1200 COFC -1600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HAMP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +21 | 193 | Lost |
| Massey | COFC -12.8 (-8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.2 (+32.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -13.8 (-7.2) | 159.9 (+33.1) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -12.3 (-8.7) | 155.3 (+37.7) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -11.4 (-9.6) | 155.2 (+37.8) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -12.0 (-9.0) | 155.9 (+37.1) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | COFC 85 – 71 HAMP |
| Jan 10, 2026 | COFC 74 – 70 HAMP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | COFC 94 – 67 HAMP |
| Feb 11, 2023 | COFC 83 – 70 HAMP |
| Dec 30, 2022 | COFC 89 – 61 HAMP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HAMP | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-24 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 15-3 |
| Home | 5-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 1-12 | 10-2 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 4-4 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 80.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -14.3 (#348) | 2.2 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.63 (#361) | 0.94 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.20 (#358) | 1.16 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.348 (#362) | 0.556 (#91) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HAMP | COFC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 40.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 33.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.8% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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