Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -112 OMA -108 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +17 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -0.2 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -0.0 (+17.0) | 151.5 (+9.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -0.2 (+17.2) | 150.8 (+10.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -0.3 (+17.3) | 153.5 (+7.5) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -0.0 (+17.0) | 151.9 (+9.1) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SDAK 91 – 87 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.7 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -8.0 (#290) | -4.8 (#241) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#269) | -0.79 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#266) | -0.99 (#243) |
| RPI | 0.433 (#309) | 0.465 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 33.5 | 33.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 33.3% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.2% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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