Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 169.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK +100 OMA -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +4 | 178 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -0.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 173.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -0.9 (+4.9) | 164.4 (+13.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -0.0 (+4.0) | 163.6 (+14.4) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -0.6 (+4.6) | 162.8 (+15.2) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -0.5 (+4.5) | 167.0 (+11.0) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 13-3 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 84.4 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 86.6 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#246) | -1.8 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#236) | -0.13 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#248) | -0.45 (#202) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#265) | 0.492 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.3 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 13.5% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 32.0% | 28.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 62.9% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.