Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK +114 OMA -135 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +14 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -1.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.5 (-20.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -1.2 (-12.8) | 151.8 (-13.8) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -2.0 (-12.0) | 149.5 (-11.5) | 42% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -1.2 (-12.8) | 148.8 (-10.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -1.1 (-12.9) | 150.1 (-12.1) | 45% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Jan 22, 2026 | SDAK 68 – 64 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SDAK 91 – 87 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 12-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-10 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.7 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#279) | -5.5 (#253) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#251) | -0.91 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#250) | -1.13 (#248) |
| RPI | 0.444 (#296) | 0.459 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 52.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
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