Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -305 SDAK +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +4 | 132 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -4.9 (-8.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-34.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -4.2 (-8.2) | 155.8 (-23.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -4.1 (-8.1) | 155.8 (-23.8) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -3.9 (-7.9) | 154.9 (-22.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -4.1 (-8.1) | 154.8 (-22.8) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | OMA 76 – 62 SDAK |
| Feb 26, 2026 | SDAK 89 – 72 OMA |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OMA 100 – 75 SDAK |
| Feb 23, 2025 | OMA 93 – 85 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2025 | SDAK 91 – 87 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 12-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 78.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 81.7 |
| Massey | -6.2 (#261) | -7.7 (#283) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.16 (#275) | -1.06 (#262) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#267) | -1.22 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.430 (#296) | 0.417 (#320) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | SDAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 25.7% | 33.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 33.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 57.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.4% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.9% | 67.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.2% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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