Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -115 BCU -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +5 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | GRAM -1.4 (-6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.0 (+4.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -0.2 (-5.2) | 144.6 (+2.4) | 50% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -0.2 (-5.2) | 143.2 (+3.8) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -0.0 (-5.0) | 140.6 (+6.4) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -0.0 (-5.0) | 142.6 (+4.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | BCU 74 – 65 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BCU 65 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | GRAM 69 – 60 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-5 | 10-1 |
| Away | 4-13 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.3 | 77.5 |
| Massey | -8.6 (#298) | -7.1 (#279) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.39 (#289) | -0.50 (#224) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.75 (#289) | -0.67 (#222) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#299) | 0.501 (#182) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 45.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 32.2% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.5% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 28.7% |
Game Analysis
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