Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM -200 BCU +210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +9 | 129 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -4.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -2.9 (+6.1) | 134.0 (-5.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | GRAM -4.1 (+4.9) | 131.6 (-2.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | GRAM -2.5 (+6.5) | 132.7 (-3.7) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -3.0 (+6.0) | 133.9 (-4.9) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BCU 76 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BCU 74 – 65 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BCU 65 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 17-17 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 11-7 |
| Home | 9-3 | 11-2 |
| Away | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.5 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#308) | -9.3 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.48 (#225) | -1.01 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#237) | -1.32 (#290) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#177) | 0.444 (#294) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 30.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 21.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 35.1% |
Game Analysis
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