Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | GRAM +100 BCU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +6 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | BCU -1.4 (-4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.4 (-8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 5% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BCU -4.0 (-2.0) | 132.0 (-8.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BCU -2.2 (-3.8) | 135.7 (-11.7) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BCU -3.9 (-2.1) | 134.1 (-10.1) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BCU -4.4 (-1.6) | 133.6 (-9.6) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BCU 76 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 10, 2026 | BCU 74 – 65 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | GRAM 69 – 60 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-22 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-2 |
| Away | 4-12 | 7-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.4 | 68.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -8.7 (#306) | -3.3 (#222) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.20 (#363) | -0.43 (#208) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.85 (#364) | -0.61 (#212) |
| RPI | 0.356 (#357) | 0.505 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 30.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 31.9 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.74 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 21.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 24.4% | 25.3% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.6% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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