The juice of the carrot, the smile of the parrot / A little drop of claret - anything that rocks "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Southwestern Athletic Conference · Fredrick C. Hobdy Assembly Center · January 11, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread BCU -1.5 Away covered
O/U 131.5 Under
Money GRAM +100 / BCU -120
Model Predictions
Spread Total GRAM win
Actual BCU +6 124 Lost
Massey BCU -1.4 (-4.6)
Massey Totals 132.4 (-8.4)
Bradley-Terry 5%
Weighted B-T 1%
Baseline Plus ML BCU -3.9 (-2.1) 134.1 (-10.1) 33%
Model 4 ML BCU -2.2 (-3.8) 135.7 (-11.7) 40%
Model 3 ML BCU -4.0 (-2.0) 132.0 (-8.0) 31%
Baseline ML BCU -4.4 (-1.6) 133.6 (-9.6) 29%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 26, 2026 BCU 7671 GRAM
Jan 10, 2026 BCU 7465 GRAM
Mar 4, 2025 BCU 7871 GRAM
Mar 15, 2024 GRAM 6553 BCU
Mar 5, 2024 GRAM 6960 BCU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings GRAM BCU
Overall 12-22 17-16
Conference 7-11 13-5
Home 6-7 8-2
Away 4-12 7-12
Neutral 2-3 2-2
Last 5 0-5 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.4 68.6
Avg Pts Against 69.3 72.2
Massey -8.7 (#306) -3.3 (#222)
Bradley-Terry -4.20 (#363) -0.43 (#208)
W. Bradley-Terry -5.85 (#364) -0.61 (#212)
RPI 0.356 (#357) 0.505 (#162)
Shooting & Four Factors GRAM BCU
FG% 41.9% 40.5%
3PT% 30.8% 31.9%
REB / G 31.9 32.8
OREB / G 8.3 9.0
AST / TO 0.74 0.70
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.1% 45.9%
TOV% 21.8% 18.8%
ORB% 24.4% 25.3%
FT Rate 20.5% 20.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.6% 50.9%
Opp TOV% 16.0% 18.3%
DRB% 70.0% 66.1%
Opp FT Rate 23.9% 23.7%

Game Analysis

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