Betting Lines
| Spread | BCU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | BCU -175 GRAM +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BCU +9 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -1.9 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.2 (-12.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -3.0 (+12.0) | 146.5 (-7.5) | 39% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -0.8 (+9.8) | 143.7 (-4.7) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -2.3 (+11.3) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -2.8 (+11.8) | 147.0 (-8.0) | 31% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | BCU 76 – 71 GRAM |
| Mar 4, 2025 | BCU 78 – 71 GRAM |
| Jan 11, 2025 | BCU 65 – 59 GRAM |
| Mar 15, 2024 | GRAM 65 – 53 BCU |
| Mar 5, 2024 | GRAM 69 – 60 BCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-1 | 7-5 |
| Away | 7-11 | 4-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 69.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.5 | 71.3 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#310) | -4.3 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.08 (#261) | -0.24 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.16 (#300) | -0.55 (#207) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#179) | 0.492 (#188) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BCU | GRAM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.8% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 29.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 34.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 63.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 31.3% |
Game Analysis
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