Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 163.5 Under |
| Money | COLO -278 KSU +225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COLO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +9 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | COLO -5.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 167.1 (-18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COLO -5.6 (+3.4) | 162.2 (-13.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -6.4 (+2.6) | 159.8 (-10.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -6.0 (+3.0) | 158.6 (-9.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -6.5 (+2.5) | 161.2 (-12.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 2, 2025 | KSU 65 – 56 COLO |
| Nov 28, 2020 | COLO 76 – 58 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COLO | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 3-15 |
| Home | 13-5 | 10-8 |
| Away | 2-8 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.2 | 79.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.8 | 81.8 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#75) | 6.2 (#93) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.54 (#66) | 0.95 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.16 (#60) | 1.29 (#91) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#90) | 0.508 (#166) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COLO | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.56 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.1% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 14.3% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 30.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.1% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 26.2% |
Game Analysis
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