Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -300 COLO +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +9 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -5.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -5.5 (+3.5) | 138.9 (-17.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -6.0 (+3.0) | 139.1 (-18.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -5.8 (+3.2) | 139.5 (-18.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -5.8 (+3.2) | 137.6 (-16.6) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | COLO 79 – 70 KSU |
| Nov 28, 2020 | COLO 76 – 58 KSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 14-21 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-5 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.8 | 69.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.6 | 71.9 |
| Massey | 8.6 (#67) | 6.0 (#90) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.25 (#80) | 0.67 (#115) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.64 (#76) | 0.84 (#109) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#116) | 0.482 (#215) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 27.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 50.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 67.4% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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