Betting Lines
| Spread | COLO -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | KSU +180 COLO -210 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COLO +18 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | COLO -0.7 (-17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COLO -4.7 (-13.3) | 146.2 (-12.2) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COLO -8.1 (-9.9) | 146.8 (-12.8) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COLO -12.0 (-6.0) | 145.5 (-11.5) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | COLO 79 – 70 KSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | KSU 65 – 56 COLO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-20 | 23-9 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-12 | 11-1 |
| Away | 2-7 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.6 | 73.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#176) | 7.7 (#24) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#171) | 0.95 (#36) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.40 (#172) | 1.47 (#32) |
| RPI | 0.500 (#35) | 0.500 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | COLO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 40.0% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 45.0 |
| OREB / G | 15.0 | 16.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 2.50 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 11.1% |
| ORB% | 42.9% | 36.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.2% | 35.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 63.6% | 67.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.0% | 30.0% |
Game Analysis
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