Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | SBU -155 URI +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SBU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +18 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | SBU -0.7 (+17.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.1 (+23.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 56% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -1.1 (+16.9) | 141.3 (+28.7) | 55% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -1.4 (+16.6) | 140.3 (+29.7) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -1.1 (+16.9) | 140.8 (+29.2) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -0.3 (+17.7) | 142.9 (+27.1) | 49% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2025 | URI 68 – 64 SBU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | SBU 99 – 64 URI |
| Jan 12, 2023 | URI 68 – 67 SBU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | SBU 73 – 55 URI |
| Dec 30, 2020 | URI 63 – 57 SBU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SBU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-11 |
| Home | 9-7 | 10-6 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#143) | 3.2 (#123) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#158) | 0.31 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#157) | 0.47 (#131) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#136) | 0.518 (#137) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SBU | URI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 34.3% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 51.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 21.7% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 68.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 30.5% |
Game Analysis
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