Betting Lines
| Spread | Pick'em Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | URI -110 SBU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | URI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | URI +6 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | URI -2.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-24.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 5% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | URI -1.0 (+5.0) | 147.4 (-27.4) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | URI -1.4 (+4.6) | 142.4 (-22.4) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | URI -0.8 (+5.2) | 143.3 (-23.3) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | URI -1.7 (+4.3) | 143.3 (-23.3) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | SBU 94 – 76 URI |
| Feb 13, 2025 | URI 68 – 64 SBU |
| Jan 18, 2024 | SBU 99 – 64 URI |
| Jan 12, 2023 | URI 68 – 67 SBU |
| Feb 23, 2022 | SBU 73 – 55 URI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | URI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-15 | 16-5 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 11-4 |
| Home | 6-3 | 8-1 |
| Away | 2-9 | 3-3 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 70.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.1 | 61.1 |
| Massey | 5.5 (#91) | 7.6 (#67) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.25 (#143) | 2.72 (#23) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#117) | 4.53 (#14) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#141) | 0.855 (#1) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | URI | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 26.7% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 42.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 1.62 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 30.4% |
| FT Rate | 33.0% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 45.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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